1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyishe, the price curve of butyl rubber this week was calm and without any fluctuations. As of April 7th, the mainstream price of domestic butyl rubber (1751) was 17700 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.14% from the previous month and 0.71% from January.

2、 Market analysis

Cost side:

In terms of crude oil: Due to the ongoing tense relationship between Iran and Israel, which has had a profound impact on the stability of the Middle East and the global crude oil market, the zero selling price of refined oil has been raised again in this round. In 2024, retail prices have experienced three increases, one decrease, and two setbacks, leading to an upward trend in the crude oil market during the cycle

In terms of isobutene: After a continuous upward trend in March, isobutene entered a stable operating period this week. As of April 7th, the price of isobutene stream has remained stable at 11500 yuan/ton. Currently, buyers in the isobutene market have decreased their willingness to enter due to the impact of rising prices, and the upward trend is gradually stabilizing.

Demand side:

Recently, multiple steel tire companies have announced an increase in steel tire prices, leading to a wave of price increases in the tire industry in April, with price increases ranging from 2% to 5%. Currently, the operating rate of all steel tires is close to 7 floors, while the operating rate of half steel tires is greater than 8 floors. The demand for steel tires in the market is showing a strong growth trend, with a continuous flow of orders far exceeding the current production and supply capacity, making it difficult to meet market demand.

3、 Future Market Forecast

Analysts from Business Society believe that the crude oil market is on the rise, with high prices of raw material isobutylene and strong cost support for butyl rubber. The supply of imported butyl rubber is tight, and multiple suppliers have entered the industry in search of goods. Domestic inventory is abundant. There are favorable factors in the downstream steel tire industry. Overall, the butyl rubber market will mainly consolidate at a high level in the short term.