Under the pressure of supply and demand, the chloroform market fell sharply (5.1-5.15)

According to the data monitoring of business agency, the chloroform market fell sharply in the first half of the month (5.1-5.15). As of May 15, the price of chloroform apron in Shandong was 4387 yuan / ton, down 20.05% from 5487 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month.

 

EDTA

With the restart of Jinling and Fuqiang methane chloride units, the overall construction rate of domestic methane chloride has increased, and the operation rate has been around 80% since May. In particular, the Jinling unit in Shandong is operating at 90%, Dongyue is operating at full load and Luxi unit is operating at 80%. In addition, the 160000 T / a methane chloride unit in Dongying Huatai is planned to be put into operation in mid May. The supply pressure in Shandong is further increased and the supply is loose. It is expected to have a certain impact on the markets in East and South China in the later stage.

 

In May, the spot price of raw methanol continued to decline and the cost support weakened. According to the business agency, as of May 15, the price of methanol was 2642 yuan / ton, down 3.73% from 2745 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month.

 

Melamine

Before and after labor day, the downstream refrigerant market sales of chloroform were light, the operation of major mainstream refrigerant manufacturers was still not high, and the demand for chloroform was weak.

 

Analysts of methane chloride data of business society believe that at present, the downstream demand for trichloromethane is weak, coupled with higher supply pressure, and it is expected that the price of trichloromethane may continue to weaken in the later stage.

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The domestic rare earth market price rose slightly this week (5.9-5.16)

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price index of domestic rare earth market rose slightly this week, the domestic rare earth industry gradually returned to rationality, and the domestic rare earth price rose little. The rare earth index was 821 points on May 15, the same as yesterday, down 18.47% from the highest point 1007 points (2022-02-24) in the cycle, and up 202.95% from the lowest point 271 points on September 13, 2015. (Note: the period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now).

 

This week, the price trend of domestic light rare earth market rose slightly, and the trend of some products of praseodymium neodymium series, the mainstream of rare earth market, rose slightly. In terms of products:

 

EDTA

As can be seen from the product price trend chart, the prices of domestic metal neodymium, neodymium oxide, praseodymium oxide, praseodymium neodymium alloy and praseodymium neodymium oxide increased slightly. As of the 16th, the price of neodymium oxide in rare earths in China was 935000 yuan / ton, an increase of 2.19% this week; The price of neodymium was 1.14 million yuan / ton, with a price increase of 3.17%; The price of praseodymium oxide was 920000 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 1.10%; The price of praseodymium neodymium oxide was 915000 yuan / ton, up 5.48% this week; The price of praseodymium neodymium alloy was 1.105 million yuan / ton, an increase of 4.74%; The price of metal praseodymium was 1.205 million yuan / ton, the price trend increased by 0.84%, and the domestic rare earth market rose slightly.

 

The price of rare earth in the domestic market rose slightly. The recent downstream procurement was normal. In addition, affected by the epidemic, some upstream and downstream production was affected, and some metal factories had procurement demand, which boosted the mentality of separation manufacturers, and the on-site price rose slightly. The inventory of downstream magnetic material enterprises in the field is not high, but the demand for spot procurement still exists, and the rare earth market is higher. Due to the normal supply of mainstream products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxide in some large groups, some small waste recycling enterprises reduce production due to insufficient raw material inventory due to the shortage of waste supply. Magnetic material enterprises are mostly distributed in Zhejiang. Affected by the epidemic situation in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, the demand for orders of downstream new energy vehicles and electric two wheeled vehicles is reduced, the demand for spot procurement is weak, and the increase of on-site prices is limited. In addition, the price of rare earth metal lock factory is cautious in the case of small increase in the rare earth metal market.

 

The national environmental protection supervision is still continuing, and rare earths are purchased on demand. At present, the inventory of neodymium praseodymium oxide has not changed much. Affected by the mood of buying up or not, the price trend in the market has increased slightly. According to statistics, the demand for new energy vehicles has increased. According to the data released by China Automobile Industry Association, in March 2022, China’s automobile production and sales reached 1.422 million and 1.43 million respectively, up 4 times and 3.6 times month on month, down 44.5% and 43.3% year-on-year. Automobile production and sales have declined. Recently, the demand in the field of new energy has been normal, the domestic light rare earth market has increased slightly, and the domestic heavy rare earth market price has risen.

 

It can be seen from the trend chart that the price of dysprosium Series in China rose. As of the 16th, the price of dysprosium oxide was 2.64 million yuan / ton, with a weekly increase of 0.96%; The price of dysprosium ferroalloy was 2.635 million yuan / ton, rising by 1.54%; The price of dysprosium metal was 3.4 million yuan / ton, rising by 2.56%; The price of terbium Series in China has increased slightly. The price of terbium oxide in China is 15.05 million yuan / ton, and the price of metal terbium is 18.6 million yuan / ton. The price of heavy rare earths rose slightly, and the leading magnetic material factory purchased on demand, which led to a slight rise in the trend of the domestic heavy rare earth market. The raw material inventory of separation enterprises in the areas where light rare earth mines are used in Sichuan and other places decreased. The reduction of this part of supply has little impact on the operating rate of separation plants in the areas where light rare earth mines are used. In addition, the export of Myanmar is limited, and the global rare earth supply is relatively concentrated. Myanmar is one of the production areas second only to China and the United States. Myanmar has a great impact on the products in the domestic heavy rare earth market, and the price trend of heavy rare earth in the venue rose slightly.

 

Melamine

In addition, the national policy supports the rare earth market. The first batch of Rare Earth total amount control indicators in 2022 are in line with expectations, and the industry pattern continues to be optimized. On the 28th, the Ministry of industry and information technology and the Ministry of natural resources issued the first batch of Rare Earth total amount control indicators in 2022, of which the ore indicators and smelting separation indicators were 100800 tons and 97200 tons respectively. The increase of the index is in line with expectations, and the state is still relatively restrained in releasing the rare earth supply index. The first batch of ore indicators / smelting separation indicators in 2022 are + 20% year-on-year, and the growth rate is lower than that of the first batch in 2021 (year-on-year + 27.3% / 27.6%). It is expected that the overall supply and demand of rare earth will remain tight in 22 years. The index increment is still focused on light rare earths. Among the mining indicators in 2022, the rock ore type rare earths (mainly light rare earths) were 89310 tons, with a year-on-year increase of + 23.2%, and the ionic rare earths were 11490 tons, with a year-on-year balance. It is expected that the increment concentrated on light rare earths will be a long-term trend, and the domestic rare earth market will still be supported in the long run.

 

The sustainable development of new energy vehicles, wind power and variable frequency air conditioning in the downstream of rare earth has been guaranteed in terms of long-term demand. In addition, the recent news of resumption of work and production has increased the enthusiasm of downstream procurement. With the continuous change of the global supply pattern of rare earth raw materials, the deepening of the requirements of innovation driven green development, the continuous strengthening of the standardized governance of the domestic rare earth industry and the further deepening of the understanding of resource scarcity, Chen Ling, an analyst at business news agency, expects the domestic rare earth market price to rise slightly.

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Domestic isobutyraldehyde prices rose by 1.32% (5.7-5.13) this week

1、 Price trend

 

EDTA

As can be seen from the above figure, the domestic isobutyraldehyde market price rose slightly this week. This week, the average price of isobutyraldehyde in the mainstream domestic market rose from 15166.67 yuan / ton last weekend to 15366.67 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 1.32%. On May 15, the isobutyraldehyde commodity index was 78.00, unchanged from yesterday, down 26.12% from the highest point of 105.58 in the cycle (2021-09-16), and up 119.53% from the lowest point of 35.53 on December 11, 2021. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2021 to now)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

The quotation of mainstream isobutyraldehyde manufacturers increased slightly this week: the ex factory quotation of lihuayi isobutyraldehyde this weekend was 15300 yuan / ton, which increased by 300 yuan / ton compared with last weekend; Hualu Hengsheng isobutyraldehyde’s ex factory quotation this weekend is 15500 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with last weekend; Shandong Zhenkun isobutyraldehyde offered 15300 yuan / ton this weekend, up 300 yuan / ton compared with last weekend.

 

Melamine

From the perspective of upstream and downstream industrial chains, in the upstream raw material market of isobutyraldehyde, the propylene market fell first and then rose this week. The quotation fell from 8800.80 yuan / ton last weekend to 8576.60 yuan / ton this weekend, down 2.55%. The market price of upstream raw materials fell slightly, and the cost support weakened. Affected by the supply and demand side, it had a negative impact on the price of isobutyraldehyde. From the downstream industrial chain, the market price of neopentyl glycol increased slightly, and the quotation increased from 17333.33 yuan / ton last weekend to 17433.33 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 0.58%. The market of neopentyl glycol rose slightly and the downstream demand increased, which had a positive impact on isobutyraldehyde.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The market trend of isobutyraldehyde may rise slightly in mid May. The upstream propylene market showed an upward trend over the weekend, and the cost support was strengthened. The downstream neopentyl glycol market rose slightly, and the downstream procurement enthusiasm was good. Isobutyraldehyde analysts of business society believe that under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials in the short-term isobutyraldehyde market, the isobutyraldehyde market may rise slightly.

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The price of hydrogenated benzene fluctuated this week and rose as a whole (from May 7 to May 13)

From May 7 to May 13, 2022, the ex factory price of hydrogenated benzene in North China rose as a whole, from 8662.5 yuan / ton last weekend to 8700 yuan / ton this weekend, up 0.43% this week.

 

Melamine

Price of main domestic hydrogenated benzene market from May 7 to May 13 (unit: yuan / ton)

 

Market, Price on May 7, Price on May 7, Rise and fall

East China, 8850~8950., 8900~9000.,+ fifty

Shandong Province, 8600~8700., 8500~8600.,- one hundred

 

The international oil price remained rising as a whole this week, falling in the middle of the week and rising again at the weekend. As of May 12, international crude oil futures were mixed. Us WTI crude oil futures rose, with the settlement price of the main contract reported at US $106.13/barrel, up US $0.42 or 0.4%; Brent crude oil futures fell slightly, and the settlement price of the main contract was US $107.45/barrel, down US $0.06. The market swings left and right under the fundamentals of good supply and bad demand, and the high oil price is deadlocked. The short-term market focus is still on the uncertainty of the epidemic and the implementation of the European oil embargo on Russia.

 

Summary of price adjustment of Sinopec pure benzene (unit: yuan / ton)

 

Date, Adjusted price, Adjustment amount

March 24, 8600.,+200

April 12, 8450.,-150

April 27, 8550.,+100

April 28, 8700.,+150

May 5, 8850.,+150

May 7, 8950.,+100

May 13, 9100.,+150

Benzalkonium chloride

Sinopec raised the ex factory price of pure benzene. On May 13, 2022, Sinopec raised the listing price of pure benzene by 100 yuan / ton, with the implementation of 9150 yuan / ton.

 

Other enterprises: Dongming Petrochemical offers 8500 yuan / ton, Weilian chemical offers 8803 yuan / ton, Xinhai Petrochemical offers 8700 yuan / ton, and Hongrun Petrochemical offers 8900 yuan / ton.

 

Crude oil prices fluctuated this week, but remained upward as a whole. The external price of pure benzene rose, which provided good support for the fundamentals of the industrial chain. On the 13th, Sinopec raised the ex factory price of pure benzene by 150 yuan / ton again, and the refinery followed up. Recently, the operating rate of the refinery was low, and the price support mentality was strong. Due to the impact of low price in Shandong, the shipment is slightly blocked and the price is relatively low. At present, the price of domestic mainstream pure benzene is 8500-9100 yuan / ton. The price of hydrogenated benzene fluctuates with that of pure benzene. At present, the market price in East China has risen to about 8900 ~ 9000 yuan / ton. At present, the overall demand of the middle and lower reaches of the industry chain is expected to remain strong, and the overall demand is expected to remain strong in the near future. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the impact of the international crude oil market, the external market, the dynamics of pure benzene and downstream devices, and changes in demand on the price of pure benzene.

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Domestic phosphate rock prices continued to move up this week (5.7-5.12)

According to the data monitoring of business agency, as of May 12, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in the mainstream areas of China was around 800 yuan / ton. Compared with May 7 (the reference price of phosphate rock was 786 yuan / ton), the price increased by 14 yuan / ton, or 1.69%, and compared with May 1 (the reference price of phosphate rock was 763 yuan / ton), the price increased by 37 yuan / ton, or 4.80%.

 

Sodium Molybdate

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that after the May Day Labor Day, the domestic phosphorus ore market has ushered in a rising operation, supported by tight on-site supply, and the phosphorus ore market has continued to operate at a high level. In the beginning of this week, on the 9th of the week, mining enterprises in some parts of China raised the market price of medium and high-end phosphorus ore again by about 20-30 yuan / ton, of which the adjusted market price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in Guizhou is about 780-830 yuan / ton. Some mining enterprises in Guizhou are short of supply and will not receive orders and quotations for the time being. The adjusted market price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in Guangxi is around 790-840 yuan / ton. As of May 12, the market price of 30% phosphorus ore in China was around 800 yuan / ton, with an increase of nearly 5% in the first ten days of May. At present, the domestic phosphate ore market as a whole continues to operate at a high level, the downstream demand is normal, and the trading atmosphere on the site is good.

 

In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, in May, the domestic yellow phosphorus market rose and operated. The spot supply of yellow phosphorus was tight, and the quotation was strong. At present, the overall trading situation of yellow phosphorus market was ok, and the downstream took appropriate goods, mainly just needed. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 37833.33 yuan / ton on May 11, up 3.65% compared with May 1 (the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 36500.00 yuan / ton).

 

Azodicarbonamide (AC foaming Agent)

Prediction and analysis of future trend of phosphate rock

 

At present, the overall supply side support of the domestic phosphorus ore market is still relatively favorable, and the transmission of supply and demand is smooth. The phosphorus ore datagrapher of business society believes that in the short term, the domestic phosphorus ore market in China will continue to be stable, medium and strong, and more attention needs to be paid to the news changes of supply and demand.

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On May 11, the domestic urea price rose by 2.61%

Trade name: urea

 

Latest price (May 11): 3228.00 yuan / ton

 

On May 11, the comprehensive price of domestic urea rose slightly, up 82 yuan / ton or 2.61% compared with the price on May 9, and up 49.68% compared with the same period last year. The prices of upstream coal and liquefied natural gas have been adjusted at a high level, and the cost support is good. From the perspective of demand: the agricultural demand in Xinjiang and southern China is good, the demand of enterprises in Hefei is increased, the plate factory purchases on demand, and the demand of urea industry is sufficient. Buy up rather than buy down, and the trading atmosphere of urea is good. From the perspective of supply: there were many urea maintenance manufacturers in May, and the supply decreased. Various factors continue to drive up the price of urea. The policy of ensuring supply and price stability remains unchanged.

 

In the future, the ex factory price of urea in Shandong is expected to rise slightly, and the average price quoted by manufacturers is about 3250 yuan / ton.

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After the festival, the price of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and rose

After the festival, the price of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and rose

 

EDTA

According to the data of business agency, the market of aluminum fluoride continued to pick up after the festival, and the price of aluminum fluoride rose. As of May 9, the average price of domestic aluminum fluoride was 11200 yuan / ton, up 2.28% from 10950 yuan / ton on May 1; After the festival, the aluminum fluoride market picked up and rose.

 

The price of raw materials rose strongly

 

Melamine

According to the monitoring of business society, the price of fluorite rose by 1.08% after the festival; After the festival, the price of hydrofluoric acid rose by 1.38%. The overall raw material market rose, the cost of aluminum fluoride increased, and the rising power of aluminum fluoride was large.

 

Market overview and forecast

 

Analysts of aluminum fluoride industry of business agency believe that the prices of hydrofluoric acid and fluorite in the raw material market after the festival rise, and the cost of aluminum fluoride increases. Generally speaking, the rising cost is weak in both supply and demand, and the price of aluminum fluoride is expected to rise in the future.

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The cyclohexane market was mainly stable this week

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of May 9, the average price of domestic industrial grade excellent cyclohexane was 9533.33 yuan / ton this week. The price was mainly stable, the operating rate was normal, the logistics was smooth, the transaction atmosphere was general, and the negotiation atmosphere was stable. The quotation range of mainstream manufacturers was about 9100 yuan / ton, mainly maintaining stable operation, the focus of negotiation was stable, and the price fluctuation range of this week was small.

 

EDTA

This week, the average price of domestic industrial grade excellent cyclohexane is 9533.33 yuan / ton, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remains about 9100 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane is balanced. The downstream just needs to purchase, the focus of negotiation is stable, and the supply side is normal. The latest price of the enterprise is: yuan / ton, 9200 yuan / ton of shandongyi Zhongxin New Material Co., Ltd., and 10500 yuan / ton of Jinan aochen Chemical Co., Ltd, Wuhan Jixin Yibang Biotechnology Co., Ltd. is 9200 yuan / ton, and Nantong Runfeng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. is 9200 yuan / ton.

 

Upstream pure benzene: as of May 6, the price of pure benzene continued to rise after the festival, and the price continued to rise. On April 29, the price of pure benzene was 8450-8700 yuan / ton (average price 8590 yuan / ton). On Friday (May 6), the price of pure benzene was 8650-8900 yuan / ton (average price 8750 yuan / ton). The average price increased by 160 yuan / ton, or 1.86%, and 18.08% over the same period last year.

 

Melamine

Chemical index: on May 8, the chemical index was 1178 points, up 1 point from yesterday, down 15.86% from the highest point of 1400 points in the cycle (2021-10-23), and up 96.99% from the lowest point of 598 points on April 8, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now)

 

According to the cyclohexane analyst of business society, the cyclohexane market is expected to operate smoothly in the short term, and the overall market supply and demand is balanced. (if you want to get more commodity information and master commodity prices, you are welcome to subscribe to the commodities of the business club through the official account of the business club. The market is an opportunity).

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Potassium nitrate market price rose slightly this week (5.4-5.7)

According to the data monitored by the business agency, the quotation of Shanxi industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate at the beginning of the week was 7083.33 yuan / ton, and the quotation of Shanxi industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate at the weekend was 7183.33 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.41%, and the price increased by 62.89% year-on-year.

 

povidone Iodine

potassium nitrate

 

The domestic potassium nitrate market rose slightly this week. It can be seen from the above figure that the recent potassium nitrate Market showed a volatile upward trend, and the market continued to rise this week. This is mainly because of the recent sharp rise in raw materials, the passive rise of potassium nitrate manufacturers, the reluctance of traders to sell goods, the general market turnover, and the market of potassium nitrate continues to rise. According to the statistics of business agency: the quotation of mainstream domestic potassium nitrate manufacturers this week is 7100-7300 yuan / ton (the quotation is for reference only). The quotation is different according to different procurement conditions.

 

Benzalkonium chloride

Recently, the international market price of potassium chloride has been strong and upward, while the domestic spot market is in short supply, the domestic inventory is relatively low, the supply is in short supply, and the price of potassium chloride has increased slightly. The high price of potassium chloride can give strong cost support to potassium carbonate.

 

Recently, the price of potash fertilizer in China has remained high, the cost has remained high, and the market supply is in short supply. It is expected that the price of potassium nitrate will mainly rise in the short term, and the long-term market still needs to wait and see. (the above prices are provided by major manufacturers of potassium nitrate all over the country and sorted and analyzed by potassium carbonate analysts of business society. They are for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details).

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High cost, carbon black price will remain high after the festival

According to the data monitored by the business agency, the domestic carbon black quotation was 10325 yuan / ton on May 6.

 

EDTA

After the festival, the supply of coal tar in the market is still tight, the overall demand for coal tar is relatively strong, and the overall performance of coal tar is high and volatile. Affected by the aggravation of the imbalance between regional supply and demand, the auction price of new orders in Shanxi market soared. Under the dual pressure of carbon black and raw coal tar transportation, the comprehensive cost of carbon black enterprises continues to rise, and the price has generally increased recently.

 

Under the current high cost of carbon black in China, it is comprehensively expected that the overall price of carbon black will remain high.

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