Author Archives: lubon

Isopropanol market price increase in early May

1、 Price trend

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According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the market price of isopropanol increased in early May. On May 1st, the average price of isopropanol in China was 6563.33 yuan/ton, and on May 9th, the average price was 6775 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 3.23%.
The market price of isopropanol increased in early May. The main factories have low operating loads, and the spot market is tight. Holding traders have pushed up their prices, but downstream replenishment enthusiasm is average, with limited new order transactions. In addition, the acetone market price has fallen this week, and the increase in negotiation focus is limited, resulting in insufficient confidence in the future market. As of now, most of the isopropanol market prices in Shandong are around 6800 yuan/ton; The majority of prices in the isopropanol market in Jiangsu region are around 6700-7000 yuan/ton.
In terms of raw material acetone, the domestic acetone market price has fallen this week. On May 1st, the average price of acetone in China was 5830 yuan/ton, and on May 9th, the average price was 5685 yuan/ton, with a price reduction of 2.49%. At present, acetone holders’ intention to ship at low prices has weakened, and their offers are moving towards high-end.
In terms of propylene, the domestic propylene market is on the rise. On May 1st, the market was average at 6570.75 yuan/ton, and on May 9th, the average price was 6630.75 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 0.91%. At present, manufacturers’ shipments are average, and downstream procurement enthusiasm is not good. They are observing and waiting, and it is expected that the market will be weak in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
The isopropanol analyst from the Chemical Branch of Shengyi Society believes that the acetone market price has fallen, the propylene price has slightly increased, the cost support is weak, and the downstream market procurement enthusiasm is not good, so the market is more cautious. It is expected that the isopropanol market will operate weakly and steadily in the short term, and more attention will be paid to changes in the raw material market.

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The domestic soda ash market in April first fell and then rose

1、 Price trend

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According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of soda ash first fell and then rose in April. At the beginning of the month, the average market price of light soda ash was 1434 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, the average market price was around 1408 yuan/ton. The price decreased by 26 yuan/ton during the month, with an overall decline of 1.81%.
2、 Market analysis
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the market for soda ash this month first fell and then rose. The price of soda ash continued to decline in the first half of the month, mainly due to the high utilization rate of soda ash production capacity and weak downstream demand. Under the game of supply and demand, soda ash prices continued to decline; At the end of the month, with the release of some equipment maintenance news in the soda ash market in May, the mentality of enterprises is optimistic. In addition, with the follow-up of downstream replenishment before the holiday, the price of soda ash has risen.
As of April 30, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China is around 1300-1500 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 30 yuan/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in Central China is around 1240-1400 yuan/ton, which will be lowered by 60-100 yuan/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in North China is around 1350-1500 yuan/ton, which will be lowered by 70-100 yuan/ton within the month.
On the demand side: According to the commodity analysis system of Business Society, the glass price trend has been strong this month, with an average market price of 15.25 yuan/square meter at the beginning of the month and 15.58 yuan/square meter at the end of the month, an increase of 2.16%. The production capacity of the glass market has not changed much within the month, with stable spot supply and increased downstream demand. The market trading is good, and there is a significant destocking of glass, resulting in a strong upward trend in prices.
On April 30th, the Business Society’s soda ash to glass commodity price index was 76.94, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 31.53% from the highest point of 112.37 points during the cycle (October 6, 2023), and an increase of 4.40% from the lowest point of 73.70 points on February 16, 2025. (Note: Cycle refers to January 1, 2012 to present)
Market forecast: According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the current trend of soda ash prices is rising. The maintenance of some soda ash plants in May will have a positive impact on the market. At the same time, the downstream market is strong and the atmosphere for soda ash transactions is good. It is expected that soda ash prices will be strong and upward in the later stage. In the long run, downstream demand support is limited, and soda ash prices will first rise and then stabilize, depending on downstream market demand.

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The TDI market experienced a weak decline in April

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, after a wide decline in the TDI market in East China in April, it rebounded slightly and the overall trend declined. At the beginning of the month, the average TDI market price was 12066 yuan/ton. On April 29th, the TDI price was 10700 yuan/ton, a decrease of 11.33% during the month and a year-on-year decrease of 30.97%.

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In April, the TDI market in East China was negatively affected by both supply and demand as well as news, causing prices to fall to a low level before rebounding slightly. In early April, the supply of goods was filled quickly and the supply was loose. Affected by the news of tariff policies, the export market is hindered, and downstream market entry is cautious. Domestic demand is relatively flat, with limited demand pull. The market lacks favorable support, and the mainstream price of TDI has fallen to 10000-10500 yuan/ton. In late April, suppliers gathered strength and increased prices, with low-end quotations probing the rise. At the same time, major manufacturers had frequent maintenance plans, but due to demand constraints, the increase was limited.
Supply side: Fujian Wanhua, Xinjiang Juli, Gansu Yinguang operate at medium to high loads. BASF’s 160000 tons/year TDI plant in Shanghai has a maintenance plan in May, while Japan’s Tosa has a maintenance plan from May to July. Other devices maintain stable operation.
In April, the upstream toluene market experienced a wide downward trend. From April 1st to 27th, the domestic toluene market price fell from 6120 yuan/ton to 5490 yuan/ton, with a price drop of 10.29% during the period. Crude oil prices fell sharply this month, and the market sentiment was weak. Downstream purchases were made on dips. The overall performance of the aromatic hydrocarbon market is weak, and the toluene market is dragged down by weak prices.
In the future analysis, TDI data analysts from Shengyi Society believe that the current TDI market demand is average, and although suppliers are actively promoting it, the upward trend is weak. Pay close attention to the changes in market supply and demand in May, and expect the TDI market to consolidate and operate within a certain range in the short term.

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The domestic ammonium sulfate market rose strongly in April

1、 Price trend

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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the average price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market was 1073 yuan/ton on April 28th, and 926 yuan/ton on April 1st. The market price of ammonium sulfate has increased by 15.83% this month.
2、 Market analysis
The market price of ammonium sulfate has continued to rise this month, with an increase of over 15%. In the first half of this month, the price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market increased significantly. Part of the caprolactam enterprises have undergone equipment maintenance, resulting in a decrease in market supply. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream particle factories has increased, leading to an increase in market demand. In the second half of this month, the upward trend of the domestic ammonium sulfate market has been temporarily suspended. The operating rate of coking enterprises remains stable, and the operating rate of their internal equipment is at a low level. After the continuous rise in ammonium sulfate prices, downstream restocking enthusiasm weakened, and there was resistance to high prices. The ammonium sulfate market began to consolidate and operate. As of April 28th, the mainstream ex factory quotation for coking grade ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 1010 yuan/ton. Domestic grade ammonium sulfate, the mainstream ex factory quotation in Shandong region is around 1060-1090 yuan/ton.
According to the weekly K-bar chart from February 3, 2025 to April 21, 2025, it can be seen that the domestic ammonium sulfate cycle is fluctuating. The domestic price of ammonium sulfate increased significantly in April, with the largest increase being 4.45% in the week of April 7th.
3、 Future forecast
An ammonium sulfate analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the domestic price of ammonium sulfate has been steadily consolidating and operating in recent days. The caprolactam plant is expected to reduce production, and market supply may decrease. Downstream essential procurement is the main focus, with limited market transactions at present. It is expected that the domestic ammonium sulfate market will experience a narrow consolidation and operation in the short term.

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Poor demand, weak xylene market

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the mixed xylene market fluctuated downward this week. From April 20 to April 27, 2025, the price of mixed xylene decreased from 5850 yuan/ton to 5750 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.71%. This week, the overall performance of the xylene market is weak, with market prices falling overall and slight differences in various markets. Due to the rise in crude oil prices at the beginning of the week and active downstream procurement, prices in Shandong region first rose and then fell this week. The port cargo supply in East and South China is relatively sufficient this week, which has affected the weak operation of prices this week.

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On the cost side: The international oil price range fluctuated this cycle, and as of April 25th, the settlement price of the main contract of WTI crude oil futures in the United States was $63.02 per barrel. The settlement price of the main Brent crude oil futures contract is $66.87 per barrel.
Supply side:
Sinopec’s xylene quotation summary shows that the company is currently operating normally, with stable production and sales. The company’s quotation remains unchanged from the previous day. As of April 27th, East China Company quoted 5750 yuan/ton, North China Company quoted 5550-5650 yuan/ton, South China Company quoted 5850-5900 yuan/ton, and Central China Company quoted 5600-5700 yuan/ton.
Demand side:
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of April 27, 2025, the price of xylene sold by Sinopec Sales Company has remained stable, with a current execution price of 6800 yuan/ton. This price is being implemented in East China, North China, Central China, and South China. Units such as Yangzi Petrochemical and Zhenhai Petrochemical are operating stably with normal sales, and the price is unchanged from April 21. As of April 24th, the closing prices of the xylene market in Asia were 719-721 US dollars/ton FOB Korea and 744-746 US dollars/ton CFR China, an increase of 2 US dollars/ton from the 17th.
Market forecast: The market expects that there is still upward potential for crude oil in the future, and the cost support is still acceptable. Recently, the inventory in Shandong region has been low on the supply side, and refineries are actively shipping. The overall supply of goods from ports in East and South China is still acceptable, and the overall supply side is relatively stable. The overall downstream procurement on the demand side tends to be rigid, and the support on the demand side is limited. It is expected to experience narrow fluctuations in the short term.

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Weak demand for epoxy propane in April, lowest price of the year

The market price of epichlorohydrin has been consistently declining in April. According to the monitoring and analysis system of Business Society, the mainstream price in Shandong was 7987.5 yuan/ton at the beginning of April, and the price had reached a low point of 7450 yuan/ton in mid April, a decrease of -6.73% compared to the beginning of the month. In late April, the price of epichlorohydrin continued to decline. As of April 25th, the mainstream price in Shandong was 7150 yuan/ton, a decrease of -10.49% from the beginning of the month and the lowest point this year.
Price influencing factors:

Azodicarbonamide (AC foaming Agent)

Supply side: Due to the continuous decline in epoxy propane prices, many epoxy propane production enterprises are in a state of sustained losses, and some enterprises have reduced their losses and stopped production. Overall, the supply side has weak support for the epoxy propane market.
Raw material side: The market price of raw material propylene has shown a downward trend, which provides weak support for the cost of epoxy propane. According to the market analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of April 25th, the benchmark price of propylene in Shengyi Society was 6710.75 yuan/ton, a decrease of -0.52% compared to the beginning of this month (6745.75 yuan/ton).
On the demand side, the downstream polyether market’s capacity utilization rate has decreased, inventory has accumulated, and most enterprises have experienced a negative load reduction phenomenon. Pre May Day, stocking up on demand is the main focus, and the trading atmosphere is cold. The downstream terminal market is affected by tariff policies, resulting in a significant decrease in export orders and limited procurement of raw materials. Overall, the demand is facing insufficient support from the epoxy propane market, and it is expected that the price of epoxy propane will continue to decline in the later stage.
Market forecast:
An epoxy propane analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the downstream demand side of epoxy propane is weak, and pre holiday stocking is mainly based on demand. The market trading atmosphere is cold, and the demand support is insufficient. It is expected that the epoxy propane market will continue to bottom out in the later stage, and more attention should be paid to changes in raw material prices and downstream supply and demand.

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This week, caustic soda prices have stopped falling and rebounded (4.14-4.18)

1、 Price trend

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According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of caustic soda has rebounded and stopped falling this week. The average market price at the beginning of the week was 805 yuan/ton, and the average market price over the weekend was 815 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 1.24% and a year-on-year increase of 2.39%. On April 17th, the Business Social Chemical Index was 802 points, a decrease of 4 points from yesterday, a decrease of 42.71% from the highest point of 1400 points during the cycle (2021-10-23), and an increase of 34.11% from the lowest point of 598 points on April 8th, 2020. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to present)
2、 Market analysis
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of caustic soda has been rising this week. The price of caustic soda in Shandong region is around 790-890 yuan/ton in the mainstream market of 32% ion-exchange membrane alkali. The price of caustic soda in Jiangsu region is stable, and the mainstream market price of 32% ion-exchange membrane alkali is around 880-980 yuan/ton. The price of caustic soda in Inner Mongolia region is temporarily stable, and the mainstream market price of 32% ion-exchange membrane alkali is around 2900-3000 yuan/ton (converted to 100%). The price of caustic soda has stopped falling and rebounded, with previous price increases and downstream resistance. Downstream stage replenishment leads to an increase in caustic soda prices.
Business analysts believe that in recent times, the price of caustic soda has been rising, and some domestic alumina companies have implemented maintenance and production plans, while downstream companies are restocking in stages. The comprehensive prediction of supply and demand game is that caustic soda will maintain an upward trend in the later stage, depending on downstream market demand.

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Supply reduction, ammonium sulfate market price increase (4.7-4.14)

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the average price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market on April 14th was 1035 yuan/ton, an increase of 6.34% compared to the average price of 973 yuan/ton on April 7th.

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2、 Market analysis
The price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market has risen significantly this week. The operating rate of coking enterprises remains stable, while the operating rate of their own facilities has decreased. Part of the caprolactam enterprises have undergone equipment maintenance, resulting in a decrease in market supply. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream particle factories has increased, leading to an increase in market demand. Recently, the price of urea has risen, which is favorable for the domestic and international ammonium sulfate market. As of April 14th, the mainstream ex factory quotation for coking grade ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 1010 yuan/ton. Domestic grade ammonium sulfate, the mainstream ex factory quotation in Shandong region is around 1040-1080 yuan/ton.
3、 Future forecast
An ammonium sulfate analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the ammonium sulfate market has been trending upwards recently. At present, the spot supply of ammonium sulfate market is tight, downstream demand is following up, and manufacturers are mainly pushing prices. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic ammonium sulfate market will continue to experience strong upward movements.

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This week, the TDI market experienced a weak downward trend (4.7-4.11)

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the TDI market in East China continued to decline this week. As of April 11th, the average market price in East China was 11766 yuan/ton, and as of April 7th, the average price was 12066 yuan/ton. It fell 2.49% within the week and 25.53% year-on-year.

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This week, the TDI market continued its downward trend. Affected by the news of tariff policies, the export market is hindered, and downstream market entry is cautious. Domestic demand is relatively flat, with limited demand pull. The market lacks favorable support, leading to further price declines.
Supply side: The source of goods is filled quickly and the supply is loose.
Cost wise: The price of toluene has decreased, with an average price of 6230 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 5860 yuan/ton over the weekend, a decrease of 5.84% during the week. Affected by tariff policies, prices have fallen sharply.
According to the analysis of the future market, the TDI data analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the TDI market currently has sufficient supply. In the uncertain macro situation, it is expected that the TDI market will operate weakly in the short term.

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Acetic acid prices remain weak and stable

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price of acetic acid remained stable on March 31st, with a market average price of 2810.00 yuan/ton, unchanged from yesterday’s price and an increase of 0.36% compared to the beginning of the month.

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The domestic acetic acid market remains stable, with market prices unchanged in various regions. The production rate of acetic acid on the supply side is relatively high, and the enterprise has accumulated inventory, mainly maintaining active shipment. The downstream market entry enthusiasm is not high, and overall follow-up is needed. The market trading atmosphere is weak, and the acetic acid market is running steadily.
On March 31st, the market prices of acetic acid in various regions are as follows:
Region/ On March 28th/ March 31st/ rise and fall
South China region/ 2800 yuan/ton/ 2800 yuan/ton/ 0
North China region/ 2710 yuan/ton/ 2710 yuan/ton/ 0
Shandong region/ 2750 yuan/ton/ 2750 yuan/ton/ 0
Jiangsu region/ 2625 yuan/ton/ 2625 yuan/ton/ 0
Zhejiang region/ 2850 yuan/ton/ 2850 yuan/ton/ 0
The price of upstream raw material methanol has weakened and decreased. On March 31st, the average price in the domestic market was 2590.0 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.42% compared to yesterday’s price of 2654.17 yuan/ton. The supply side has shown sufficient supply of goods, with traders actively reducing inventory. Downstream demand is not high, and new orders in the market have decreased. Enterprises have accumulated inventory, and the methanol market is consolidating weakly.
On March 31st, the downstream acetic anhydride market remained stable, with an average factory price of 4800.00 yuan/ton, unchanged from yesterday’s price. The upstream acetic acid market remains stable, with average cost support for acetic anhydride. Downstream market entry follows suit as needed, and the trading atmosphere in the market is weak. The supply and demand balance in the market is maintained, and the acetic anhydride market is running steadily and cautiously.
Market forecast: Business Society’s acetic acid analyst believes that domestic facilities are operating stably, the market operating rate is at a high level, and there is sufficient supply in the market. However, downstream demand for acetic acid is lukewarm, and there is a lack of market benefits. It is expected that the acetic acid market will consolidate weakly, and attention will be paid to downstream follow-up in the future.

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