1、 Price trend

According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of soda ash first fell and then rose in April. At the beginning of the month, the average market price of light soda ash was 1434 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, the average market price was around 1408 yuan/ton. The price decreased by 26 yuan/ton during the month, with an overall decline of 1.81%.
2、 Market analysis
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the market for soda ash this month first fell and then rose. The price of soda ash continued to decline in the first half of the month, mainly due to the high utilization rate of soda ash production capacity and weak downstream demand. Under the game of supply and demand, soda ash prices continued to decline; At the end of the month, with the release of some equipment maintenance news in the soda ash market in May, the mentality of enterprises is optimistic. In addition, with the follow-up of downstream replenishment before the holiday, the price of soda ash has risen.
As of April 30, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China is around 1300-1500 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 30 yuan/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in Central China is around 1240-1400 yuan/ton, which will be lowered by 60-100 yuan/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in North China is around 1350-1500 yuan/ton, which will be lowered by 70-100 yuan/ton within the month.
On the demand side: According to the commodity analysis system of Business Society, the glass price trend has been strong this month, with an average market price of 15.25 yuan/square meter at the beginning of the month and 15.58 yuan/square meter at the end of the month, an increase of 2.16%. The production capacity of the glass market has not changed much within the month, with stable spot supply and increased downstream demand. The market trading is good, and there is a significant destocking of glass, resulting in a strong upward trend in prices.
On April 30th, the Business Society’s soda ash to glass commodity price index was 76.94, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 31.53% from the highest point of 112.37 points during the cycle (October 6, 2023), and an increase of 4.40% from the lowest point of 73.70 points on February 16, 2025. (Note: Cycle refers to January 1, 2012 to present)
Market forecast: According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the current trend of soda ash prices is rising. The maintenance of some soda ash plants in May will have a positive impact on the market. At the same time, the downstream market is strong and the atmosphere for soda ash transactions is good. It is expected that soda ash prices will be strong and upward in the later stage. In the long run, downstream demand support is limited, and soda ash prices will first rise and then stabilize, depending on downstream market demand.