The resistance of downstream enterprises intensified, and the price of PA66 fell

Price trend

 

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According to the bulk list data of business society, the domestic PA66 market fell in December, and the spot prices of various brands fell significantly. As of December 30, the average ex factory price of PA66 adhesive injection molding sample enterprises of business society was about 36500 yuan / ton, with an increase or decrease of – 5.19% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month.

 

Cause analysis

 

Industrial chain: upstream, domestic adipic acid is short both in cost and supply and demand this month, and the price of raw materials is lower. The supply is affected by the expected temperature rise of plant restart, dragging down the market price. Adiponitrile has not improved much. The loss of production capacity of large international factories and the shortage of overseas transportation capacity are still affecting the market, and the supply shortage has not improved. Due to the high dependence on imports of adiponitrile, most domestic PA66 enterprises have operated at a low production load for a long time.

 

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The upstream raw material adipic acid is weakly stable, the change of adiponitrile is limited, and the cost end support of PA66 is weakened. At present, there is no change in the operating rate of the industry compared with the previous period, the tight pattern of adiponitrile remains unchanged, and the operating rate of domestic PA66 industry continues to be low. Due to the shortage of inventories in various ports, the impact of international health events, the lack of overseas systematic transportation capacity, and the long-term shortage of domestic arrival, the boost effect of the recent rise of remote upstream crude oil has also been flattened. In terms of demand, buyers follow up slowly with goods, there is great resistance to high price goods, the seller’s mentality is loose, and the offer is weak.

 

Future forecast

 

Business analysts believe that the spot price of PA66 fell in December. The shortage of adiponitrile at the raw material end did not improve, and the adipic acid market fell. PA66 enterprise has a low overall load due to lack of raw materials, and the supply side supports the spot. However, downstream users have a deep resistance to high price sources, and the trading atmosphere on the floor is poor. It is expected that PA66 may continue to operate in a weak adjustment in the near future.

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